Fukushima in two volcanoes

/ 11/03/2021

Mount Adatara (wikipedia)

Today is the 10 year anniversary of the Tohoku earthquake. The M9 off the coast at Sendai, Japan, was impressive enough by itself, but the main impact came from the huge tsunami that followed. I remember it well. My lecture the previous day had been on the physics of tidal waves and tsunamis. I had the same group of students again that morning. Immediately before that lecture I saw the first videos of the disaster in Japan which had happened only a few hours before. It was a very sobering lecture that day, with the excitement about the physics of waves the previous day in sharp contrast to the real-life events from those waves. One of the videos of the disaster especially remains in my memory. It shows people looking on from a long distance, first in excited chatter about the wave, then rising consternation as the destruction becomes clear and finally fleeing in blind panic as the final flow of the tsunami reaches them.

Nowadays we seem to remember Fukushima more than we do Tohoku. The combination of the earthquake and the tsunami caused the biggest nuclear disaster since Chernobyl. The immediate cause of the nuclear failure was the fact that the complex had been build too low above the flood line. The elevation was originally based on the highest tsunami they had ever seen in the area, over a century of observations. The buildings were 11 meters above sea level. The pumps that operated the coolants in the Fukushima nuclear reactors were placed much lower. For obvious reasons, they were meant to be within reach of sea water. Later they were raised. The reactors survived the earthquake, even though they were subject to ground accelerations that exceeded the design requirement. They turned off, as was foreseen. The pumps had their own diesel generators to make sure they would operate even when the nuclear power was off. Nuclear reactors overheat without the pumps that move the coolant – even when the reactors are off. The tsunami here reached 14 meters, well above the worst case scenario. It flooded the pumps and even the lower floors of four of the six reactor buildings. The diesel generators were located on these floors: all four generators failed. Now both the reactors and the pumps were off-line for four of the six reactors. That had not been foreseen. The rest could not be prevented.

Ten years later, much of the area still remains prohibited and the local population evacuated. It shows that when safeguarding nuclear reactors, the risk analysis should be overcautious. It had been unwise to base the design on only one century of data. In addition, the risk analysis should also have considered unexpected combinations of events. Of course, an earthquake of M9 is far from a common occurrence. But the consequences of failure are too severe to skimp on the emergency plan.

This was ten years ago. There will always be earthquakes here. There was an M7.3 just last month. But these are not at the level of Tohoku. However, earthquakes are not the only problem affecting the region of Fukushima. It also has volcanoes. Troublesome volcanoes.

The region

Fukushima is a province (or Prefecture) of Japan. It is rather more than the exclusion zone on the coast. ( The infamous Fukushima reactor is approximately where the ‘6’ is on the map.) The cities are mainly in-land, in a basin within a mountainous region. The capital city is also called Fukushima. The area is known for its food: fruit from its orchards, Kinsuisho sake, and a wooden lunchbox called wappa. It has the 4th largest lake in the country. And it has eye-watering mountains.

The eye-watering nature is because these mountains are volcanic, and emit sulfur. There are two main volcanoes here, Bandai is the tallest and best known. At one time it was compared to Mount Fuji. Nearby Adatara is slightly lower and far less famous. Let’s look.

Adatara volcano

Adatara consists of several overlapping stratovolcanoes, with different ages. (Japan is a crowded island and even volcanoes have to live with limited personal space.) (This area is not densely populated by Japanese standards, though.) There are two main peaks, Tetsuzan (1709 m) and Adatarayama (1699 m). In between the two lies Numanodaira crater, about 1.2 km diameter and 300 meters deep. The crater is old : it formed during a plinian eruption 120,000 years ago.

The three cones form a north-south oriented chain. There has been a volcano here for 250,000 years. This is an old system, a survivor. There were three main phases in its development. The oldest eruptions were on the eastern side, and happened between 250 and 200 thousand years ago. A quiet interlude followed which lasted 80,000 years. It ended when 120 thousand years ago the summit area erupted in a fairly short-lived phase of activity. This was the time of the major eruption that formed the crater. By 100,000 years ago the activity had shifted to Numanodairo: since that time, all eruptions have come from around this crater. The crater still contains sulfuric fumaroles, hot springs, and some hot mud pools. The river that begins here and flow to the west is called ‘Iogawa river’, meaning Sulfur river; in its upper reaches it has a pH of 2-3. (Further downstream it is known as Sukawa river.) The magma composition has changed over time. The oldest magma was andesitic. Later, tholeiitic magma was added. The two magma sources were active simultaneous, as two separate magme chambers. Eventually the andesitic magma became exhausted, and now the felsic (tholeiitic) magma dominates.

Numanodairo crater

The last documented eruption was in 1996. On the world scale of volcanic eruptions, this may well hold the record for the smallest reported event, ever. An explosion spread mud about 100 meters distance. A similar explosion happened in February 1950 with the plume reaching a massive 50 meters (that is meters, not kilometers). It doesn’t sound too frightening.

However, don’t let these micro-eruptions fool you. This is a deadly volcano, not a tourist attraction. Think White Island and you’ll get the idea. There are popular hiking trails on the forested slopes of Adatara. But you should not go into the crater. In 1997 a group of 14 hikers became disoriented in fog, lost the hiking trail and ended up on the floor of Numanodaira crater. At other times that would not have caused major problems. Not so this time. The fumarole gas had not dispersed as usual, but had collected on the floor of the crater because of very light winds. The air at the bottom had turned toxic: four of the hikers died from exposure to a lethal dose of H2S and CO2.

And this mountain had done much worse in the past. There was a more significant eruption in 1900, on July 17. At that time there was a sulfur mine within the crater. (It sounds so much like White Island.) At 4 pm on that day a small explosion occurred. The workers at first stayed where they were. There had been similar mud explosions in the previous year, so they were used to a bit of muddy excitement. Only when a second explosion came at 6 pm did they begin to evacuate. They took the western road. When reaching the rim of the crater, a third explosion came, on the opposite side of the crater. This was large enough to generate a small surge with some damage around the mining settlement. At 6:30 pm a much larger explosion came. It destroyed the mine and the houses. Ash fell, and a pyroclastic surge formed, in the direction of the western evacuation route. The workers were overtaken by the surge. 22 of them died and the others had serious burns. the total number of casulaties (dead and wounded) is reported as 72. A lahar came down the river and affected a village about 2 km away where some houses were destroyed. Even a volcano with micro-eruptions deserves caution.

Bandai volcano

Mount Bandai

This unpredictability is shared with its neighbour, Bandai volcano. It is about equally tall. Bandai used to be a well-shaped volcano, known as the Fuji of the north. (Apparently, anything north of Tokyo is known as ‘the north’ in Japan.) It wasn’t quite as regular as Fuji: there were four peaks around the summit region. It changed 1888. There had been some earthquakes at the mountain in the previous weeks. But Fukushima knows all about earthquakes and these did not seem concerning. At 7am in the morning of 15 July, the earthquakes became strong and frequent. At 7:30am, there was a big explosion: Bandai had erupted, out of nowhere. An eye-witness (a survivor) said that the ash column came from Ko-Bendai, the second highest of the four peaks.

‘Showers of large and small stones were falling all around us. To these horrors were added thundering sounds ..’ The eye-witness fled, but almost immediately fell from a strong earthquake. ‘It was pitch-dark; the earth has heaving beneath us; our mouths noses and eyes were stuffed with mud and ashes’. When he escaped an hour later, he was the only one remaining of his group.

This had only been the first explosion. The strong quake which brought him down was probably the first landslide which was triggered by the eruption. But around 9am, the peak of Ko-Bendai ceased to exist. It collapsed in its entirety, not with an explosion but with a slide. More than a cubic kilometer of rock came down the north face of the mountain, reaching as far as 15 kilometers. Several villages disappeared. The death toll is reported as 477. The rock slide dammed the rivers in the region, and water levels began to rise. Where once was the town of Hibara, now is lake Hibara with the town submerged below it. Other lakes formed, large and small.

Since 1888, Mount Bandai no longer looks like Fuji. From the north, the central part of the mountain is missing. The new lakes are still there, in a landscape covered with hummocks left by the debris flows. New villages have grown. And Bandai is still there. Waiting.

Patterns

Adatara is not seen as highly dangerous. Its recent activity and eruptions present a danger only to people who venture too close. Bandai is different. It has a much more violent recent past. But one thing we have learned from Fukushima is not to base your risk analysis on the recent past. The reactor was build to withstand the biggest event in recent years. But in the more distant past, much larger events had taken place and those had not been considered. The 2011 Tohoku earthquake was extreme but not exceptional. Go back millennia, and this had all happened before, and it will happen again. With that in mind, what is the real danger of these two volcanoes? It turns out, a very unexpected one.

Source: Kyoko Kataoka and Yoshitaka Nagahashi, 2019, Sedimentology, 66, 2784-2827

But first the expected ones. Lake Inawashiro-ko has already been mentioned as one of the attractions of the region of Fukushima: it is that 4th largest lake of Japan, 55 kilometers long. It wasn’t always here, and it arose from volcanic activity. 50,000 years ago, Mount Bandai erupted. It was a large plinian eruption, but the main effect came from a flank collapse like 1888. This was a large collapse, with 4 km3 of mountain coming down the slopes (four times more than in 1888). The slide went south rather than north. The debris flow and the pyroclastics dammed the local valley, and this is the origin of the lake. It was caused by that innocently looking volcano on its northern shore. Much of the water it has still comes from Bandai and Adatara, via the Nagasegawa River. It was a notably acid lake, probably casued by Adatara’s sulfur (Bandai lacks sulfuric fumaroles.). Nowadays, agricultural run-off and pollution have brought the pH of the lake to near neutral.

Inawashiro-ko (Japan National Tourism Organization)

So Mount Bandai has done these St-Helens-like collapse-eruptions before. This is an inherently unstable mountain. There have in fact been 8 major debris avalanches over the past 100,000 years. It also has effusive eruptions which slowly rebuild the mountain, ready for the next collapse.

Adatara is also explosively eruptive, and shows evidence for sub-plinian and plinian eruptions (VEI 3-4), once every 1000 to 20,000 years. There is no recent evidence for lava flows: the youngest dated one was 70,000 years ago. The VEI-5 eruption which formed the crater was a one-off event, 120,000 years ago. Smaller, vulcanian eruptions (VEI 2-3) have left 5 tephra layers dated to the last 10,000 years. Adatara does not show evidence of any flank collapses. But the Sukawa rivers does show lahar deposits from Adatara: 17 lahar layers are known from the last 14,000 years.

Lake Inawashiro-ko contains a 50,000 year record of eruptions from both volcanoes. Tephra falls form thin layers at a variety of depths in the sediment at the bottom of the lake. Other layers are caused by lahars from both volcanoes which reached the lake. The two volcanoes can be distinguished by chemistry: ejecta from Adatara has a higher potassium content. That may be related to differences in the basement: Bandai volcano grew on the thick Shirakawa ignimbrite, perhaps 10 million years old (Pleistocene) and 60 km3 in volume (DRE). The lahars were mostly triggered by phreatic eruptions, but a lahar layer dated to the spring of 497 BC is suggestive of having been caused by snow melt. There are also multiple debris layers which are attributed to small flank collapse events at the southern slope of Bandai, the scar region of its largest collapse 50,000 years ago.

The many layers indicate that Adatara was frequently active between 50 and 29 thousand years ago and decreased after that, while Bandai remained at a high level of activity for 5000 years longer but after that also declined. The decline in activity may not have been volcanic: the growing delta meant that lahars and debris flow had to travel further to reach the lake. In the past 10 thousand years, Bandai has left the lake largely alone but phreatic eruptions at Adatara have deposited 10 cm in various (at least 5 major) events. Note that Bandai may have erupted and collapsed in other directions, avoiding the lake. (The 1888 eruption was large enough that it does show in the lake even though the collapse went the other way.) Each volcano erupted into the lake some 30 times over the 50,000 years that the lake has existed.

The layers of the lake have shown that the frequency of eruptions from Adatara is three times higher than had been recognized before. Its tephra-producing eruptions have a mean recurrence time of 640 years. For Bandai, the eruption rate is about 50% higher than thought, and 1888-type eruptions may occur every 2000 years. This count may still miss eruptions, since there are some eruptions known that left no trace in the lake.

Such activity levels should not be ignored in the local risk analysis. For Adatara, the risk is mainly local as its phreatic eruptions are not large, but it does do vulcanian and sub-plinian eruptions which cloud reach the local hiking trails and ski regions. However, lahars are a danger. Bandai is inherently dangerous and should be monitored.

And notably, the town of Inawashiro with 14,000 people is located within the reach of the lahars from these volcanoes.

So far the known dangers. But recently, an unrecognized danger was found.

The 2021 Fukushima earthquake

In February this year, the Fukushima region was affected by an M7.3 earthquake. The focal point was 70 km off the coast, and it may have been an aftershock of the 2011 earthquake. There was quite a bit of damage in the area, with cracked walls, broken water pipes, and some landslides. There were 180 injuries and 1 fatality.

The most significant damage affected the famous motor racing circuit of Ebisu, 50 km east of Adatara. It is famous especially under afficionadas of drift racing, and has multiple separate circuits built into the side of the mountains. There were some cracks in the asphalt caused by the quake. But much worse was a major landslide which took out some cars, a two-story building and several of the tracks. The site had been deserted at the time, and no one was hurt. But Ebisu will be closed for the foreseeable future, or at least until funds have been raised for repairs.

Investigations into this landslide showed that the cause was not any local building work. Landslides are often caused by building activities (such as roads) which destablize a steep slope. The first suspicion was that something similar happened here. But instead, the slope itself was to blame.

It turned out that the slope consists of soil which rests on wind-blown tephra layers from Adatara. The tephra layer is 10 meters deep and dates from Adatara’s entire quarter of a million year history. This again rests on a much older debris layer of similar thickness, and below that is the even older ignimbrite. The cause of the slope failure was hiding in the Adatara tephra. The shaking destabilized the loose layer, and this started the landslide.

Volcanic soils on steep slopes carry a risk of landslides. This is in particular during earthquakes. The 2011 Tohoku earthquake had caused three similar landslides in this region, traced to the same wind-blown tephra. And it happens elsewhere in Japan too. The M6.6 earthquake in Hoikkaido in northern Japan, September 2018, caused a large series of slope failures on steep slopes. These happened in pyroclastic fall deposits from Tarumae, Eniwa and Shikotsu Caldera in western Hokkaido, dating from 9000 to 47000 years ago.

Slope failures from the 2018 Hoikkado earthquake

Volcanoes are dangerous, but we understand those dangers and can be prepared. Earthquakes are dangerous, but again we can be prepared. Both are manageable events. The Fukushima nuclear reactor ran into trouble when two manageable events combined, in a way that the emergency plan had overlooked. So it is here. There are unexpected dangers in the combination of earthquakes and volcanoes. Even when those volcanoes have long been inactive. Beware of volcanic soil.

Albert, March 2021

https://unseenjapan.com/mount-bandai-japan-eruption-volcano/

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/sed.12629/

https://blogs.agu.org/landslideblog/2021/03/09/ebisu-circuit/

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316 thoughts on “Fukushima in two volcanoes”

  1. Over 1700 earthquakes have been measured in the Reykjanes Peninsula since midnight, few of which were over M3, the largest one measured M4,6 at 08:53 GMT this morning. As before, the magmatic activity is centered around Mt. Fagradalsfjall southwest of Mt. Keilir.

  2. Discuss the possibility of a volcanic eruption in the sea

    The Scientific Advisory Council will discuss at its meeting tomorrow the possibility that a possible volcanic eruption in the Reykjanes peninsula can reach down to the sea in the south.

    Víknews first reported these ideas, but Kristín Jónsdóttir, a natural resources expert at the Bureau of Meteorology, confirms in a conversation with the mbl.is that this possibility is to be discussed at tomorrow’s meeting.

    “If we are interpreting the end of the corridor correctly, there are just a few miles out to sea,” says Kristina.
    https://www.mbl.is/frettir/innlent/2021/03/11/raeda_moguleikann_a_eldgosi_i_sjo/

  3. Albert, thank you very much for the new article… fantastic as usual!

  5. Thanks Albert for an interesting and scary story. Many places with risk for landslides. Not least in Iceland!

  7. Very interesting article, Albert. I’ve read a lot about the dreadful events in Japan in 2011 but my attention was never drawn to these two volcanoes until now. So thanks a lot. Thoughts and best wishes to the folks in the region of Fukushima and elsewhere in Japan.

  8. Any resemblance to the northwest pacific coast is purely subductive.

    • BTW I’m Back
      In the last three months I have lost my wife, of 32 years,had a car accident, and snowed in for about a week
      so I have been preoccupied.

    • Complex signature on the seismograph. I would be cautious with the depth. But there was a lot of activity in the past hour. There is also a shallowing of the earthquakes today, although not at the surface

      • Yes, strange look to my amateur eyes. Verified to 99.
        Som time ago I was in contact with one of the IMO geoscientists and asked about how they calculate position and deep of the quakes. He said they use an algoritm that takes into account many parameters and use data from several stations. But, still shallow quakes are difficult to pinpoint.

    • Also shallow as usual for Katla. This amateur that for some reason it is hard to pinpoint the position and deep in that region.

  11. Just realized that the RÚV webcam has a picture-in-picture mode that keeps a miniature of the video on top of all other windows. Really neat feature.

  12. Dr Kristin Jonsdottir of the IMO got back to me on the ground rift picture posted on twitter. I asked for the geographical coordinates and camera pointing direction and she said the location was roughly southwest of Litli Hrutur. She only saw the deeper marks, but drones and other techniques are being used to examine the area. She said that a team conducted by Asta Rut Jjartardottir was looking into the happenings in the area.
    Ref: https://twitter.com/krjonsdottir/status/1369761147826692106/photo/1

  13. Lava could run kilometres in six hours

    The Bureau of Meteorology has used a lava flow model to assess where lava is most likely to flow from different volcanic eruptions. Typically, the model is used to assess the final spread of lava, but in the last few days the model has been used to obtain clues as to how fast lava is going forward in the early hours of a possible volcanic eruption.

    This is reflected in a post on the Bureau of Meteorology’s website that displays a picture of the model. It shows an example where the amount of dynamic flowing up through the eruption is expected to be stable and it erupts at about two kilometres long.

    The crack is located over the area where the dynamic fence is located now according to the latest data, i.e. up by Nighthaga, which is a valley east of Borgarfjall.

    From the grounds, the southernmost part of the lava tongue, which flows towards the sea to Hraunsvík, was expected to travel for nearly one kilometre in the first six hours.
    https://www.mbl.is/frettir/innlent/2021/03/11/hraun_gaeti_runnid_kilometra_a_sex_klukkustundum/

  14. Great article. For some weird reason I’m always surprised(I really shouldn’t be) at how little I know about Japanese volcanos when Japan is the focus of articles here.

    I however spotted this double “not”
    ” But Fukushima knows all about earthquakes and these did not seem not concerning.”

    • Thanks Bjarki. Fixed the error. I am sure there will be others!

  15. After Ice

    Glaciers reflect our past and reveal our future. This short film overlays imagery from the archives of the National Land Survey of Iceland with current day footage of six outlet glaciers in the Hornafjörður region of Southeast Iceland to reveal the breathtaking story of a rapidly disappearing frozen world.

  16. Another really informative post from Albert. Thank you. Volcanoes should never be underestimated..even with all the latest technology the Fire Gods will insist on making sure us mortals stay humble by producing unexpected activities.

    4ED my sincere sympathy. What a horrible time for you. Sending a virtual ((((Hug))) and the wish that life will treat you more kindly from now on.
    .
    The popcorn here is still awaiting the hot pan…. as we are awaiting the first hot spot to show As back in the times of Bardabunga & El Hierro my chores are becoming neglected as I keep vigil. I have iphone,tablet and pc (Desk & laptop ) all tunned in…and I know it will erupt when either I am in the garden with the dogs or having a shower!!!
    Off to finish cleaning up the kitchen and making husband’s packed work lunch for tomorrow. Then when all chores finished I can relax and watch for a while before my bed calls me..

  17. Regarding the Fukushima 2-century tsunami assessment…

    I was told that the site techs & managers often drove up the coast a short way to a most-excellent fish restaurant in a traditional fishing village. Said premises was set quite high inland, well above level of Fukushima’s sea-wall. And, a few paces distant, there was a memorial with flood-mark for the historical tsunami that got that far…

    Joined-up thinking ?? Epic Fail…

    • This is a new camera position , I believe. I’m not familiar with the map of the area yet, but I’ve been watching it for a while, assuming there might be a town in the distance.
      Is that the case?

      • It’s been there for a while. If there was anything eruptive about it, I would imagine that there would be some comment on it from IMO or another agency by now.

      • The glow wasn’t there earlier, but changes in the cloud ceiling can do that. I think it’s reflected city lights, but I’m not sure. Which is why I’m pining for IR.

        • It’s Reykjavik. The camera looks north west and the glow is about correct for the the city lights. I found a map of the place on another article (and stupidly did not bookmark it) so was able to orientate the location.

    • It could be light pollution from Hafnarfjordur. It’s surprising how far light pollution affects the sky, especially with clouds present. It used to a bain of my life when chasing the Aurora, as even fairly small settlements 10km, or more would affect the sky.

      • Judging by what I think is the location of the camera (judging from earlier in the day), it could easily be Hafnarfjörður or the big aluminum plant at Straumsvík.

        And yeah … I’ve had exactly the same aurora-hunting experience.

  19. For all you regular volcanologists and geologists on here…

    Has there been much of an increase in seismic activity, not just in Iceland, this year? If so, by how much, and how does it compare to ages past?

  21. Well, Excellent, Albert! You make me feel like i’m standing there. Stay Well! Best!motsfo

  22. Thanks For the (((hugs))) I hope to be able to hold a memorial in her Rose Garden 🏡 In May.

  23. I read that there is now another dike moving in the opposite direction to the one that went to Keilir, this one is going towards the ocean. It could be that this isnt such a trivial eruption after all, if it erupts in the ocean it will be ashy, and the lava will flow very fast if it erupts on land due to the slope. Its also entirely possible the whole dike will erupt, maybe not all at once but over the course of the year.

    • It’s not another dyke, but the same dyke as before where the activity has been progressively moving further to the south. Lengthening the dyke while creeping closer to the surface the further south it gets. Still ways away from the coastline but increasing the chance of the lava running into the sea

      • Was more pointing out that it is on the other side of the fault, so the rifting is occuring in both directions. To me this basically guarantees an eruption some point, and probably more than one eruption too if the 13th century activity is typical. It would not surprise me if Fagradalsfjall becomes one of the most active volcanoes in the world for this next few years, the rift could erupt many times and along its whole length before the magma is used up.

        I actually would like to know if there are any viewers of VC that live in Grindavik, the place that is considered most likely to erupt at the moment is not far east of there.

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  26. I came across this displacement map, using inSAR data, a very interesting tweet by Professor Sigurjon Jonsson https://twitter.com/Sjonni_KAUST/status/1369884714924920832/photo/1 showing the recent changes in topography in the Fagradalsfjall area. The dike is obvious in the vertical map, as a blue depression area. There is also an interesting dark pink or purple fissure line on the middle left side of the maps. Does anyone know what this is? Prof Jonsson works as professor of geophysics at KAUST.

    • The pink line is a marker I think. At the marked area is a small area that moves. Maybe a local fault. Wild guess. Or just a disturbance in the sat recording?

    • It looks like the termination of the transform fault segment that pulled east during the largest earthquake. It caused a normal fault. But I can’t rule out an artefact of how the data was put together!

  27. anyone else watching Etna now think that it’s a rather large display?

    • Sad we would not see so many trees which did not completely burn because a leak of oxygen like in the Hawaiian videos if it’s really going to happen…

      What sort of pictures, that’s power, from which humans still will dream of for many more years (#ITER?)…

      https://youtu.be/NWVmI6EzVWE

  30. company fell asleep on the couch…. i have to tip toe off to bed…. will catch it tomorrow… Good Night. Best!motsfo

    • no worries… my company is visiting family, in my bubble, and i’ve had both shots and they had the first one.

  31. Hey, we got a 5.0, observed “2.8 km SSW of Fagradalsfjall”. And another 4.1 an hour later.

    • Shallow too. Less tham 4 km.
      Is this the straw that breaks the camel’s back ?

  32. More 4+ stars at Fagradalsfjall. The icelandic dragon keep chewing rocks towards more shallow depth while making itself ready to spit lava!

    • As I say that, it does indeed look like the quakes have sat still recently. We have said this a lot this week, but this could be it.

      • At the far botton-right corner of the screen it looks like there is a big shear in the ground. Atleast, that’s what it looks like to my amateuristic eyes.

    • That’s there: 63°52’09.40″ N 22°16’58.28″ W (Natthagi). Looking towards the peak Stóri Hrútur, I guess.

      Link removed after complaints by our demon – admin

    • I cannot view this. I get “error Loading” message. Any advice?

    • Only seen now that this has already been reported a few entries earlier

    • Thanks for the link!

      Quoting Boris: “Nonetheless, at the moment Etna is deflating, there is no more magma coming and its system is stable.”
      Good to learn as the paroxysm this morning was even a little stronger, tremorwise, than the last ones.

      And here another quote from the article with at little positive effect of the pandemic:
      “Irene Corsaro could feel the stones grinding under the car’s tyres and she soon realised how lucky she was to be wearing her anti-Covid facemask. ‘The red-coloured air was very poor, heavy to breathe in.'”

    • Yes, the depth axis is inverted. 0 is actually at the bottom and 20 at the top.

    • That’s just the estimated depth with reversed annotations on the axis, i.e. 0km is ~20 on the axis. Don’t know why they do it that way…

    • So the quakes are going deeper, because the magma is melting itself down or too much weight for the dyke bottom or more magma is coming up?

  37. Has anyone taken screenshots of the new Nátthagi webcam feed? To see if there are any noticeable changes?

    • Much less snow today compared to yesterday. Not very warm weather in teh area +2C and weak winds. Heat from below??? 🐉

    • Does IMO or any other department think about not just to watch and wait?

      Open the dyke where it would be most harmless?

        • Sure – I guess they hope it just ends (like governments often do #COVID19, etc.)

          It’s a decision like should the doctor open the skull and remove the brain tumor or not? Before the first ever operation, before MRI, before…

          Do nothing worse case vs. worse case open the Pandora’s box (new volcano? Pressure release starts something else? We do not know a lot or enough what’s going on beneath the crust…)

          • 1 km is awfully long way to dig. But to answer your question somewhat, few years back researchers at the Krafla power plant were drilling experimental boreholes when they accidentally drilled into magma. The borehole immediately got clogged by virgin obsidian. Which suggests that conventional drilling would not be effective method of “controlled volcanic eruption”.

            That would leave explosives, and to break up a km thick slab of basalt-family rock formations requires astounding amounts of explosives or even multi-kt nukes. Neither are either feasible or would be accepted by the general public

          • Combination of more than one borehole close to the dyke and some good timed TNT explosions for the last crack?

            Do you know anything about the used diameter for this Krafla drillings?

    • You Can see people “doing there volcano-thingy” on The webcam. And something red, don’t know what it is? Can’t be lava? :-0

      • hehe. and that red thing we called it ” Kálfur ” = Calf
        for extra diesel or gasoline, tank on wheels. They are filling up on the
        generators

        • 😀 I belive you 😀
          It didn’t move or anything. Haha!
          Stay safe 😉

        • It does seem odd that Iceland, a place with near unlimited clean electricity, would use a diesel generator to run these cameras… proportionally it is inconsequential it just seems very odd.

          • Well the generators are for the Cell and TV transmitters and repeaters. And are mostly for backup when the electricity goes out.
            Most of those cameras are run by solar and wind.

  41. Does the blue hazy area on the hillside above the mudflat on the Borgafjall webcam signify anything?

  42. If magma nears the surface, wouldn’t we see accumulation of groundwater first?

  44. Webcam Borgafjall turned black for me. Did the dragon frie it?

    • It is back up. I saw someone working on it. Just a little bit of maintenance I guess.

  47. I have been wondering actually, on the Borgafjall webcam, is the eruption expected to be in the valley that is actually in view?

    Also Borgafjall = burger mountain? 🙂

      • It is interesting how not active the area looks still, I imagine there are some cracks in the ground up close but from afar you wouldnt know there was anything volcanic at all.
        The top of the hill that the webcam is usually pointing at is just over 1 km away, so the camera is probably closer to the magma than it is to that peak… I didnt realise it was so close, it might not survive…

      • Nothing wrong with a pdf. It is the standard format for most information dissemination.

      • “PDF is being discontinued”

        Where on earth did you get that idea from? PDF is an open format that is far too widely used to simply disappear. Even if Adobe stopped developing it (which they’re not) it would continue on as a format.

        • I suspect that that statement came out of frustration with adobe’s acroread, a powerful but cumbersome tool. There are many lighter and easier pdf readers available, and I find i helpful to have one of those as the usual reader and use adobe only when required. On a Mac, the default preview application is basic but pretty good.

  50. I think tonight, before dawn at least. Got another pulse starting.

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